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Manhattan, Kansas 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for Manhattan KS
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Manhattan KS
Issued by: National Weather Service Topeka, KS |
| Updated: 1:26 am CDT May 26, 2026 |
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Overnight
Mostly Clear
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Tuesday
Mostly Sunny
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Tuesday
Night
Mostly Clear
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Wednesday
Mostly Sunny
then Slight
Chance
T-storms
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Wednesday
Night
Slight Chance
T-storms
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Thursday
Chance
Showers then
Chance
T-storms
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Thursday
Night
Slight Chance
T-storms then
Chance
Showers
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Friday
Chance
Showers
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Friday
Night
Chance
T-storms
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| Lo 60 °F |
Hi 87 °F |
Lo 59 °F |
Hi 85 °F |
Lo 64 °F |
Hi 83 °F |
Lo 63 °F |
Hi 80 °F |
Lo 62 °F |
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Overnight
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Mostly clear, with a low around 60. Calm wind. |
Tuesday
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Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. Light and variable wind becoming southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning. |
Tuesday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 59. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light east in the evening. |
Wednesday
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. Light east wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. |
Wednesday Night
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A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 20%. |
Thursday
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A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 10am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 83. Light east wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. |
Thursday Night
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A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms, then a chance of showers after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. East wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 40%. |
Friday
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A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 80. East wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. |
Friday Night
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A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. East wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. |
Saturday
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A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms, then a chance of showers after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 80. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Saturday Night
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. |
Sunday
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A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 80. |
Sunday Night
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 57. |
Monday
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Mostly sunny, with a high near 82. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Manhattan KS.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
521
FXUS63 KTOP 260829
AFDTOP
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Topeka KS
329 AM CDT Tue May 26 2026
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Warm and dry weather continues today, and most likely Wednesday as
well.
- Daily rain chances are forecast Thursday through the weekend,
although severe weather risks are low.
- Near average temperatures are forecast Thursday through early next
week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 329 AM CDT Tue May 26 2026
Water vapor imagery early this morning shows an amplifying upper
trough off the Pacific Northwest coast, another shortwave ejecting
out of it near the Four Corners, and another still weaker shortwave
moving north from northeast TX. All of these features look to have
some impact on our sensible weather over the coming week. For today,
the wave from TX looks to weaken as it slowly moves north through OK
and into the Ozarks. As such, CAMs largely keep scattered convection
well south of the area into OK and southwest MO this afternoon and
evening. This seems reasonable with soundings not showing much in
the way of lift, and lapse rates looking modest with what
instability is available. Heading into Wednesday, moisture quality
improves somewhat with slightly better instability, and there
appears to be a somewhat better source of meaningful forcing with
the next shortwave approaching. However, this has been trending
later in the day Wednesday, leading to mostly dry conditions for the
majority of the area for most of the day. Can`t rule out a few
isolated showers or storms mainly along/south of I-70 late in the
afternoon, but greater coverage is favored towards south central KS.
Other than that outside rain chance and conditions looking a bit
more humid Wednesday, weather should be similar Tuesday and
Wednesday with highs in the 80s and light southeast to east winds.
The moisture axis moves overhead Thursday along with the upper
trough axis shearing out Thursday night into Friday. This is the
time period that features the highest PoPs in the forecast period,
but these have lowered considerably from just 24 hours ago. Although
this appears to be the time frame when forcing and moisture line up
the best, the weakening system lowers confidence in widespread
rainfall, so it is entirely possible that some locations miss out.
With weak flow and shear in place, still not anticipating severe
weather, and rain amounts look light enough to keep flooding
concerns low as well.
By the weekend, it remains uncertain how long this weak sheared out
troughing pattern will stay overhead, as the larger trough to our
west looks to weaken and pivot northeast across the Rockies. This
may result in some shortwave energy hanging around the region into
the weekend, which keeps low PoPs into the weekend. This looks
diurnally driven with instability peaking with daytime heating and
CIN increasing after sunset. Outside of these hit or miss showers
and storms, temperatures should hover near average for late May with
highs near 80 degrees and lows near 60 degrees.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1231 AM CDT Tue May 26 2026
VFR continues with light winds persisting from the southeast.
&&
.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Picha
AVIATION...Picha
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